First, I was completing an interview with Matt Gephardt from
KUTV news. During the discussion, Matt asked if it was a good time to invest.
Immediately, I assumed he was referring to the volatility that the stock market
has recently experienced and I provided my opinion that volatility was
ultimately a good thing because it penalized short-term speculators and
provided profitable opportunities for long-term investors. As I spend a lot of
energy encouraging clients to focus on achieving their long-term financial
goals and paying minimal attention to short-term market movements, I said I wouldn’t
hesitate to invest given the current market environment.
Further, as Matt is a young individual with several decades
before retirement, investing early and utilizing as much time as possible to
allow his portfolio to compound would clearly be beneficial. Investors with
such an extended investment time horizon will certainly experience their share
of market pullbacks, corrections, and even crashes. Yet, history strongly
suggests that the simplest way for young investors to achieve wealth is to get
invested dollars working for them as early as possible.
It wasn’t until later that I realized Matt very well could
have been asking if it would be wise to invest money now after a market pullback
and hope to quickly profit from a bounce or a quick recovery. This would have
certainly been a fair question as such action would clearly fall within the
definition of investing. However, if I had interpreted the question in this
matter, my answer would have been completely different. I would have responded
that I have no idea what the market will do over the next week, month, or even
year, so if you are looking to make money over the short-term I can’t say that
investing now is an action that I would recommend.
The second interaction involved an email exchange with a new
client who is about to transition into retirement. This individual has historically
been an extremely conservative investor, having his entire nest egg invested in
cash equivalents (CDs, money markets, and savings accounts) for the last
several years. However, he has recently recognized that such investments won’t
provide the income that he desires throughout his retirement.
I’ve worked with this individual to produce a financial plan
and investment strategy that we are both comfortable with, so the next step is
to put the plan into action. However, the client expressed concern about
investing amid the recent volatility. While this is certainly a valid concern,
it made me realize that the client and I were using the term “invest” to mean
different things.
I believe when the word “invest” was used, the client
logically concluded that the entire cash balance would be invested in the
market immediately. This would be a huge transition and could certainly be
scary. By comparison, to me “invest”
meant starting the process of slowly moving money out of his cash balance and
putting it to use in more assertive assets by dollar-cost-averaging over time.
This could take 12-24 months, dramatically reducing the client’s exposure to
short-term market movements.
Further, it became increasingly clear that although the
client and I had discussed and agreed upon an asset allocation that may consist
of only 30% stocks, the client hadn’t yet incorporated the mindset that only
30% of his portfolio would be subject to the volatility of the stock market.
Admittedly, if the market were to drop 10% immediately after investing your
life savings, that would be a frightening experience. However, if only 30% of
the portfolio was invested in stocks when the market declined by 10%, the
investor’s loss would have likely been only approximately 3%. While enduring a
loss is never pleasant, an immediately loss of 3% would be a lot more
manageable than a 10% portfolio reduction.
With Matt, he and I may have interpreted “invest” as a way
to obtain completely different goals – profiting from the current market
environment vs. obtaining long-term financial goals. In my interaction with the
new client, our slightly different interpretation of the word “invest” was
leading us to envision scenarios with drastically different risk implications.
Of course, it is possible that both Matt and the client
could have meant various other things while discussing investing in today’s
market. The point is that the term “investing” is frequently not sufficient
when communicating with others. What are the goals you hope to achieve with the
investment? How long do you intend to hold the investment? What assets will you
actually be investing in?
While these may seem like basic principles, it is possible that
a commonly understood definition of the word “invest” may be lacking during
some communications, whether those discussions are taking place between
spouses, financial advisors and their clients, or between families and their
accountants and attorneys. Every once in a while, it is probably worth ensuring
that the people you work with possess an understanding of what the word
“invest” means to you.
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