Friday, August 28, 2009

Chart of the Day

For some perspective on the current stock market rally and how it compares to the 1929-1932 bear market (which also included bank failures, bankruptcies, severe stock market declines, etc.), this chart illustrates the duration (calendar days) and magnitude (percent gain) of all significant Dow rallies that occurred during the 1929-1932 bear market (solid blue dots). For example, the bear market rally that began in November 1929 lasted 155 calendar days and resulted in a gain of 48%. As today's chart illustrates, the duration of the current Dow rally (hollow blue dot labeled "you are here") is longer than any that occurred during the 1929-1932 bear market. As for magnitude, only the November 1929 bear market rally resulted in a better performance than what has occurred during the current rally to date.

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